Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
CEN
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 1
SAN
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 0
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 23 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 4
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
SER
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 1
POR
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 4
NAU
12%
19%
69%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
YPI
1 - 1
NAU
19%
21%
59%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |