Centenary Stormers vs Western Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
20.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
BAY
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
MGH
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 0
STO
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WES
0 - 0
STO
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BRK
2 - 3
STO
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Western Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WES
0 - 4
ALB
5%
12%
82%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WES
2 - 2
TOO
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WES
0 - 0
STO
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 5
WES
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
WES
4 - 2
MGH
12%
17%
72%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +3 |