Centelles vs Aiguafreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+271%
+150%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
CEN
43%
21%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 1
SEU
55%
19%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 0
CEN
13%
16%
72%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 2
BRU
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SEV
0 - 3
CEN
65%
18%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aiguafreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SJV
2 - 0
AIG
53%
20%
27%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AIG
0 - 2
CAS
33%
22%
45%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SEU
1 - 0
AIG
58%
20%
23%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AIG
3 - 3
TAR
62%
18%
20%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
AIG
57%
19%
24%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |