Céltiga FC vs Melias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 2
CEL
42%
25%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
UDA
44%
26%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ATO
0 - 3
CEL
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
LAL
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
CEL
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 1
USD
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
MEL
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 4
PON
18%
24%
58%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
MEL
73%
17%
11%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 1
EST
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |