Céltiga FC vs Arenteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CEL
58%
23%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
6 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
CEL
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
EST
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CUL
0 - 1
CEL
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARE
2 - 0
CDV
59%
22%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
POR
4 - 1
ARE
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARE
3 - 1
ALE
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
ARE
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 0
ARE
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |