Uefa Youth League Round 5

Celtic U19 vs Milan U19 analysis

Celtic U19 Milan U19
24 ELO 41
1.5% Tilt -0.6%
9363º General ELO ranking 8115º
91º Country ELO ranking 310º
ELO win probability
17.8%
Celtic U19
19%
Draw
63.3%
Milan U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
Celtic U19
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.3%
Win probability
Milan U19
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic U19
+85%
-13%
Milan U19

ELO progression

Celtic U19
Milan U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic U19
Celtic U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2013
AJA
Ajax U19
2 - 1
Celtic U19
CEL
66%
18%
16%
24 29 5 0
22 Oct. 2013
CEL
Celtic U19
4 - 1
Ajax U19
AJA
28%
23%
50%
21 30 9 +3
01 Oct. 2013
CEL
Celtic U19
1 - 2
Barcelona U19
FCB
23%
22%
55%
22 38 16 -1
18 Sep. 2013
MIL
Milan U19
3 - 1
Celtic U19
CEL
80%
12%
7%
22 43 21 0
28 Nov. 2012
PSV
PSV U19
1 - 0
Celtic U19
CEL
63%
20%
17%
22 31 9 0

Matches

Milan U19
Milan U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2013
BRE
Brescia U19
3 - 2
Milan U19
MIL
25%
23%
52%
42 35 7 0
10 Nov. 2013
MIL
Milan U19
2 - 0
Ternana U19
TER
90%
7%
3%
42 14 28 0
05 Nov. 2013
FCB
Barcelona U19
1 - 1
Milan U19
MIL
47%
22%
31%
42 41 1 0
01 Nov. 2013
VAR
Varese U19
1 - 2
Milan U19
MIL
32%
25%
43%
41 38 3 +1
22 Oct. 2013
MIL
Milan U19
2 - 6
Barcelona U19
FCB
59%
21%
20%
43 40 3 -2