UCL Group C Round 2

Celtic vs Manchester City analysis

Celtic Manchester City
83 ELO 92
23.9% Tilt 11.5%
450º General ELO ranking 13º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.2%
Celtic
21%
Draw
60.8%
Manchester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
Celtic
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.8%
Win probability
Manchester City
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+25%
-1%
Manchester City

ELO progression

Celtic
Manchester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2016
CEL
Celtic
6 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
82%
12%
6%
83 64 19 0
21 Sep. 2016
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
86%
10%
4%
82 58 24 +1
18 Sep. 2016
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 2
Celtic
CEL
28%
26%
46%
83 75 8 -1
13 Sep. 2016
FCB
Barcelona
7 - 0
Celtic
CEL
95%
4%
1%
83 97 14 0
10 Sep. 2016
CEL
Celtic
5 - 1
Rangers
GLA
70%
18%
13%
83 75 8 0

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2016
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
11%
20%
69%
92 82 10 0
21 Sep. 2016
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
12%
20%
68%
92 82 10 0
17 Sep. 2016
MAC
Manchester City
4 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
82%
12%
5%
92 79 13 0
14 Sep. 2016
MAC
Manchester City
4 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
57%
21%
22%
91 90 1 +1
10 Sep. 2016
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
30%
26%
45%
91 89 2 0