Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 0
CEL
34%
25%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
GLA
1 - 0
CEL
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 3
CEL
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 0
HOM
44%
28%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
HOM
0 - 1
HIB
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FAL
0 - 0
HOM
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |