SPL Round 4

Celtic vs Falkirk analysis

Celtic Falkirk
77 ELO 78
6.2% Tilt -5.7%
454º General ELO ranking 436º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.4%
Celtic
18.8%
Draw
22.8%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
Celtic
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
22.8%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+30%
-2%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Celtic
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 1947
CEL
Celtic
4 - 3
Queen of the South
QOS
67%
17%
16%
77 67 10 0
18 Oct. 1947
CLY
Clyde
2 - 0
Celtic
CEL
49%
22%
29%
78 68 10 -1
11 Oct. 1947
CEL
Celtic
3 - 2
Greenock Morton
GRE
65%
17%
18%
78 65 13 0
04 Oct. 1947
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Celtic
CEL
64%
19%
18%
78 81 3 0
27 Sep. 1947
CEL
Celtic
0 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
53%
21%
27%
79 81 2 -1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 1947
EAS
East Fife
4 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
50%
21%
29%
79 72 7 0
25 Oct. 1947
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
East Fife
EAS
72%
15%
13%
79 72 7 0
18 Oct. 1947
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
60%
20%
21%
78 81 3 +1
11 Oct. 1947
GLA
Rangers
0 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
66%
18%
17%
78 83 5 0
27 Sep. 1947
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 1
Hamilton Academical
HAM
75%
13%
11%
77 66 11 +1