SPL Round 3

Celtic vs Dumbarton analysis

Celtic Dumbarton
83 ELO 74
21.5% Tilt 16.1%
456º General ELO ranking 4020º
Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Celtic
17.5%
Draw
14.2%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
Celtic
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.2%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+47%
+2%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Celtic
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 1894
CLY
Clyde
2 - 4
Celtic
CEL
27%
22%
51%
83 66 17 0
22 Sep. 1894
CEL
Celtic
5 - 3
Rangers
GLA
60%
20%
21%
83 83 0 0
08 Sep. 1894
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 3
Celtic
CEL
32%
22%
46%
83 70 13 0
25 Aug. 1894
TLA
Third Lanark
2 - 1
Celtic
CEL
33%
23%
45%
83 73 10 0
18 Aug. 1894
CEL
Celtic
5 - 2
St Bernard's
STB
65%
19%
16%
82 76 6 +1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 1894
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 4
Dundee
DUN
64%
19%
17%
76 71 5 0
29 Sep. 1894
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 4
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
38%
23%
40%
76 80 4 0
22 Sep. 1894
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 3
Dumbarton
DUM
43%
23%
35%
77 71 6 -1
15 Sep. 1894
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 4
St Bernard's
STB
62%
20%
19%
77 75 2 0
08 Sep. 1894
DUN
Dundee
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
35%
24%
41%
78 71 7 -1