Celtic vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
48.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
STJ
2 - 1
CEL
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
HIB
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
HEL
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ICT
2 - 4
CEL
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HEL
0 - 2
CEL
44%
24%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SLB
3 - 0
NAC
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VST
0 - 5
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 2
SPB
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
F95
0 - 0
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
SLB
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |