Scottish League Cup Round 6

Celtic vs Ayr United analysis

Celtic Ayr United
84 ELO 66
18.8% Tilt 12.8%
456º General ELO ranking 852º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
87.2%
Celtic
7.9%
Draw
4.9%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
Celtic
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.9%
Win probability
Ayr United
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+22%
-12%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Celtic
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1971
GLA
Rangers
0 - 3
Celtic
CEL
54%
23%
24%
83 83 0 0
25 Aug. 1971
CEL
Celtic
0 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
76%
14%
10%
84 78 6 -1
21 Aug. 1971
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 3
Celtic
CEL
22%
21%
57%
83 68 15 +1
18 Aug. 1971
GRE
Greenock Morton
0 - 1
Celtic
CEL
39%
23%
39%
83 79 4 0
14 Aug. 1971
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Rangers
GLA
66%
18%
16%
83 83 0 0

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1971
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
74%
15%
11%
67 78 11 0
25 Aug. 1971
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 4
Rangers
GLA
21%
21%
58%
67 83 16 0
21 Aug. 1971
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 3
Celtic
CEL
22%
21%
57%
68 83 15 -1
18 Aug. 1971
GLA
Rangers
4 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
73%
15%
11%
68 83 15 0
14 Aug. 1971
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
42%
23%
34%
68 79 11 0