Lowland Football League Scotland Round 1

Celtic II vs Cumbernauld Colts analysis

Celtic II Cumbernauld Colts
53 ELO 48
6.3% Tilt 16%
2973º General ELO ranking 6174º
34º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Celtic II
22.1%
Draw
19.4%
Cumbernauld Colts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Celtic II
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.4%
Win probability
Cumbernauld Colts
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic II
+21%
+55%
Cumbernauld Colts

Points and table prediction

Celtic II
Their league position
Cumbernauld Colts
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
34
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
77
77
100%
Celtic II
70
70
100%
Caledonian Braves
63
63
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
61
61
0%
Linlithgow Rose
61
61
0%
Albion Rovers
54
54
100%
Broxburn Athletic
51
51
100%
Civil Service Strollers
47
47
100%
East Stirlingshire
43
43
100%
Cowdenbeath
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Hearts II
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Bo'ness United
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Stirling University
13º
35
35
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Gretna 2008
15º
33
33
15º
0%
Berwick Rangers
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
17º
31
31
17º
0%
Broomhill FC
18º
31
31
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Celtic II
Cumbernauld Colts
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Celtic II
Cumbernauld Colts
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic II
Celtic II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
1 - 0
Celtic II
CFC
30%
24%
46%
53 49 4 0
19 Apr. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
2 - 1
Hearts II
HOM
48%
24%
28%
53 53 0 0
13 Apr. 2024
THE
East Stirlingshire
6 - 4
Celtic II
CFC
11%
18%
71%
53 36 17 0
07 Apr. 2024
STI
Stirling University
0 - 2
Celtic II
CFC
27%
23%
50%
52 47 5 +1
02 Apr. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
3 - 0
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
57%
22%
21%
51 49 2 +1

Matches

Cumbernauld Colts
Cumbernauld Colts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2024
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
3 - 2
Nairn County
NAI
65%
19%
16%
49 39 10 0
20 Apr. 2024
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
2 - 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
GAL
83%
12%
5%
49 25 24 0
13 Apr. 2024
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
4 - 1
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
89%
8%
3%
48 11 37 +1
06 Apr. 2024
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
4 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
62%
21%
16%
48 42 6 0
02 Apr. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
3 - 0
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
57%
22%
21%
49 51 2 -1