Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-1
Celta vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1947 |
VCF
0 - 0
CEL
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
CEL
5 - 2
GRA
78%
12%
10%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1947 |
CEL
2 - 1
SAB
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
GRA
0 - 1
CEL
49%
22%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SEV
2 - 0
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1947 |
VCF
0 - 0
CEL
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1947 |
VCF
2 - 1
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
ALC
1 - 0
VCF
43%
23%
35%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
VCF
3 - 2
ALC
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
VCF
6 - 0
SPO
76%
14%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |