Celta vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
VAD
4 - 0
CEL
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 2
CAD
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 2
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
SEV
2 - 1
CEL
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
INT
3 - 1
RMA
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
UDL
4 - 3
RMA
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
RMA
2 - 1
VAD
79%
14%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
NEX
2 - 0
RMA
44%
27%
29%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CAD
1 - 3
RMA
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |