LaLiga Round 27

Celta vs Real Jaén analysis

Celta Real Jaén
79 ELO 72
3.8% Tilt -3.4%
56º General ELO ranking 5027º
12º Country ELO ranking 171º
ELO win probability
69.5%
Celta
16.9%
Draw
13.5%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
Celta
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.5%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celta
+5%
-2%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

Celta
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 1958
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
85%
10%
6%
79 90 11 0
23 Mar. 1958
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Celta
CEL
70%
16%
14%
79 85 6 0
09 Mar. 1958
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 0
Celta
CEL
67%
17%
16%
79 84 5 0
02 Mar. 1958
CEL
Celta
0 - 2
Granada
GRA
75%
15%
10%
80 66 14 -1
16 Feb. 1958
OSA
Osasuna
5 - 1
Celta
CEL
55%
21%
24%
80 78 2 0

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 1958
RJA
Real Jaén
4 - 2
Espanyol
ESP
40%
25%
35%
71 84 13 0
23 Mar. 1958
VAD
Real Valladolid
3 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
68%
17%
15%
72 76 4 -1
09 Mar. 1958
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 2
Athletic
ATH
25%
23%
52%
71 88 17 +1
02 Mar. 1958
SPO
Real Sporting
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
67%
18%
16%
71 74 3 0
16 Feb. 1958
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
47%
24%
29%
71 79 8 0