Celta vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 1
CEL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CEL
3 - 1
XER
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ELC
2 - 0
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CEL
2 - 0
UDL
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
POL
0 - 1
CEL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NUM
2 - 1
RSO
35%
27%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
RCF
1 - 3
NUM
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
NUM
0 - 2
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
40%
27%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 4
NUM
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |