LaLiga Round 25

Celta vs Málaga analysis

Celta Málaga
88 ELO 87
4.9% Tilt -7.1%
56º General ELO ranking 606º
12º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
61.7%
Celta
21.7%
Draw
16.6%
Málaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
Celta
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.6%
Win probability
Málaga
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celta
+5%
-3%
Málaga

ELO progression

Celta
Málaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2004
VAD
Real Valladolid
0 - 2
Celta
CEL
39%
28%
34%
88 86 2 0
08 Feb. 2004
CEL
Celta
2 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
57%
23%
21%
88 87 1 0
31 Jan. 2004
BET
Real Betis
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
43%
27%
30%
88 87 1 0
28 Jan. 2004
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
65%
21%
15%
88 85 3 0
25 Jan. 2004
CEL
Celta
2 - 5
Real Sociedad
RSO
51%
24%
26%
89 88 1 -1

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2004
MAL
Málaga
5 - 2
Espanyol
ESP
56%
23%
21%
86 85 1 0
07 Feb. 2004
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Málaga
MAL
84%
11%
5%
86 94 8 0
31 Jan. 2004
MAL
Málaga
1 - 6
Valencia
VCF
30%
28%
42%
86 92 6 0
25 Jan. 2004
MAL
Málaga
2 - 3
Real Valladolid
VAD
49%
26%
25%
87 87 0 -1
18 Jan. 2004
VIL
Villarreal
2 - 0
Málaga
MAL
49%
26%
25%
87 87 0 0