Copa del Rey Last 16

Global 0-2

Celta vs CD Málaga analysis

Celta CD Málaga
76 ELO 79
-7.5% Tilt -21.5%
59º General ELO ranking 26414º
13º Country ELO ranking 8604º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Celta
23.7%
Draw
24.7%
CD Málaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
Celta
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.6%
Win probability
CD Málaga
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Celta
CD Málaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 1973
MAL
CD Málaga
2 - 0
Celta
CEL
53%
24%
24%
76 78 2 0
20 May. 1973
CEL
Celta
3 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
30%
30%
40%
75 86 11 +1
13 May. 1973
BET
Real Betis
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
48%
29%
22%
76 72 4 -1
06 May. 1973
CEL
Celta
4 - 2
Real Oviedo
OVI
57%
26%
17%
75 72 3 +1
28 Apr. 1973
VCF
Valencia
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
70%
20%
11%
76 84 8 -1

Matches

CD Málaga
CD Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 1973
MAL
CD Málaga
2 - 0
Celta
CEL
53%
24%
24%
78 76 2 0
19 May. 1973
MAL
CD Málaga
0 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
45%
29%
27%
79 82 3 -1
13 May. 1973
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 0
CD Málaga
MAL
75%
17%
8%
79 86 7 0
06 May. 1973
MAL
CD Málaga
0 - 0
Real Betis
BET
61%
24%
15%
79 72 7 0
28 Apr. 1973
OVI
Real Oviedo
0 - 0
CD Málaga
MAL
45%
30%
26%
79 72 7 0