Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
RMC
3 - 0
CEL
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 1
PON
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
CEL
54%
26%
20%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
COR
2 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
LUG
3 - 0
AVI
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
UPL
0 - 1
LUG
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
LUG
2 - 1
RIB
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
RMC
3 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
26%
27%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |