Celta Fortuna vs CD San Martin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CDO
3 - 1
CEL
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAC
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ACF
3 - 2
CEL
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CEL
4 - 1
PON
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
CAL
1 - 2
CEL
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
PON
2 - 0
SMA
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SMA
4 - 0
CDO
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
SMA
3 - 2
ZAM
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 0
SMA
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
SMA
1 - 0
MAR
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |