Cella vs Oliver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 3
CEL
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
UDC
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 1
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 2
ICF
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PED
3 - 1
CEL
67%
19%
15%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
4 - 3
MON
60%
21%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UDC
1 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 0
ALF
54%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ICF
3 - 0
OLI
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |