Celje vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
KOR
2 - 0
CEL
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
CEL
1 - 3
NKP
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 1
CEL
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 2
RUD
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
NKO
1 - 0
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 1
NKM
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
KOR
0 - 2
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 1
GOR
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
NKP
1 - 2
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
6 - 2
TRI
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |