Celaya vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 0
TOR
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 1
CFC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 1
TOR
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 2
DOR
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ZAC
3 - 1
TOR
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 0
TOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
UDG
2 - 1
UAT
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
TEM
2 - 1
UDG
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UDG
3 - 2
CIM
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
UDG
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |