Celaya vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
QRO
31%
26%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 3
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
UAT
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
BAL
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 2
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
UDG
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
UDG
1 - 0
MER
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
UDG
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
4 - 2
UDG
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
UDG
4 - 0
NEC
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |