Celaya vs Trotamundos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 3
TOR
23%
23%
54%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
5 - 1
JAG
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
UDG
1 - 3
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ALT
3 - 2
TOR
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Trotamundos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
TRO
2 - 2
TIG
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
ZAC
2 - 1
TRO
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TRO
3 - 0
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
JAG
0 - 3
TRO
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
TRO
0 - 1
DOR
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |