Celaya vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
NEC
2 - 1
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
TOR
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
NEC
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATL
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MER
3 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
TEP
41%
23%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 2
DOR
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TEP
2 - 0
CAÑ
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
TEP
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TEP
0 - 0
LOB
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |