Ceilândia vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 3
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 1
CEI
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
TAG
0 - 0
CEI
50%
23%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
SED
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CEI
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SED
2 - 1
PAR
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUZ
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 4
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +2 |