Ceilândia vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LUV
3 - 1
CEI
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUV
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SOB
3 - 1
GAM
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
17%
21%
63%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 1
BRA
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 0
LUZ
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
GAM
5 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |