Ceilândia vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
CEI
5 - 1
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 2
CEI
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MIN
0 - 0
CEI
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CEI
0 - 2
MIN
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -3 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CEI
4 - 2
DOM
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
DOM
2 - 2
CFZ
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOM
46%
23%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 3
DOM
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 6 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
DOM
2 - 0
SOB
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |