Brasiliense. SEGUNDA FASE, Matchday 4

Ceilândia vs Capital Brasilia analysis

Ceilândia Capital Brasilia
50 ELO 65
104% Tilt 97%
3074º General ELO ranking 3121º
111º Country ELO ranking 115º
ELO win probability
38.6%
Ceilândia
18.7%
Draw
42.7%
Capital Brasilia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
Ceilândia
2.35
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
16.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
4.4%
4-4
1.6%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
0
18.7%
42.7%
Win probability
Capital Brasilia
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.7%
4-5
0.8%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
17%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
1.3%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brasiliense
13
13
50%
Ceilândia
13
13
50%
Capital Brasilia
9
9
100%
Gama
0
0
100%
Expected probabilities
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Champion
50% 0%
Final season
50% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Capital Brasilia
CAP
Ceilândia
CEI
Gama
GAM
Brasiliense
BRA
Costa Rica
COS
Anápolis
ANA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceilândia
Ceilândia
1%
X%
2%
ELO CEI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2022
CEI
Ceilândia
1 - 0
Gama
GAM
46%
27%
27%
435 468 -33 +1
11 Mar. 2022
AVA
Avaí
1 - 2
Ceilândia
CEI
64%
20%
16%
414 1246 832 +17
05 Mar. 2022
BRA
Brasiliense
0 - 0
Ceilândia
CEI
46%
27%
26%
410 460 50 0
02 Mar. 2022
CEI
Ceilândia
2 - 0
Londrina
LON
37%
28%
35%
392 765 -373 +19
19 Feb. 2022
CEI
Ceilândia
5 - 0
Paranoá
PAR
45%
27%
28%
391 506 -115 +1

Matches

Capital Brasilia
Capital Brasilia
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2022
CAP
Capital Brasilia
1 - 2
Brasiliense
BRA
53%
25%
22%
838 460 378 -1
05 Mar. 2022
GAM
Gama
1 - 2
Capital Brasilia
CAP
37%
28%
35%
839 467 -372 0
19 Feb. 2022
CAP
Capital Brasilia
0 - 0
Brasiliense
BRA
56%
24%
20%
840 451 389 0
16 Feb. 2022
CEI
Ceilândia
2 - 3
Capital Brasilia
CAP
35%
27%
38%
840 393 -447 0
12 Feb. 2022
CAP
Capital Brasilia
3 - 1
Unaí
SED
48%
27%
25%
839 800 39 +1