Ceilândia vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
COS
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 1
CEI
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 3
BOT
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
COR
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOT
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 2
BOT
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -1 |