Ceilandense vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
GAM
5 - 0
CEI
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUZ
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 0
CEI
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SOB
3 - 0
CEI
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CEI
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAY
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TAG
1 - 1
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
SOB
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
GOI
4 - 1
BRA
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
GOI
9%
16%
74%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |