Cefn Druids AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 2
CEF
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CEF
4 - 1
RHA
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 1
HOL
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
CEF
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 1
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
MOL
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 2
POR
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
RHA
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
CON
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |