Cefn Druids AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CEF
0 - 1
BUC
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
RTW
2 - 1
CEF
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 1
CEF
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 1
CEF
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 1
FLI
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POR
4 - 2
RHA
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
5 - 2
POR
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
RTW
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
LLA
33%
22%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RHA
3 - 5
POR
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |