Cefn Druids AFC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 3
CEF
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 2
LLA
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEF
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 4
CAR
22%
26%
53%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |