Cefn Druids AFC vs Caernarfon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 1
CEF
50%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
ABE
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
CEF
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 0
HAV
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 1
CAE
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAE
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 2
TNS
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
WEL
3 - 3
CAE
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |