Cefn Druids AFC vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
2 - 4
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
4 - 1
CEF
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CEF
4 - 1
HAV
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TNS
0 - 0
BAL
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |