Ceará vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
0 - 3
PAL
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
SAN
1 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOT
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
0 - 1
COR
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
0 - 0
BAH
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 2
SAN
21%
24%
56%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
SAN
4 - 0
COR
62%
19%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1972 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
SAN
2 - 4
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |