Ceará vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CEA
5 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
CEA
2 - 1
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CEA
3 - 3
LIM
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
CEA
2 - 1
ITA
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ICA
2 - 2
CEA
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 4
ITA
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
LIM
1 - 1
QUI
34%
24%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
QUI
2 - 1
FOR
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 0
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
FER
2 - 0
QUI
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |