Ceará vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
OES
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
CEA
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 0
BRA
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 0
CEA
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
LON
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
NAU
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRA
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
VAS
3 - 2
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NAU
5 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 3
NAU
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |