Ceará vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 2
CEA
22%
23%
56%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 0
CEA
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
ATP
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
CEA
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
4 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
BOV
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 2
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |