Ceará vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
2 - 2
CRB
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
3 - 0
FLU
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 1
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
BAH
1 - 3
ATM
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
BAH
2 - 1
AMF
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 1
BAH
37%
30%
33%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
BAH
0 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |