Ceará vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CUI
2 - 2
CEA
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 0
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEA
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
AME
0 - 1
ATP
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATP
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 1
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 4
ATP
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |