Série B Brazil . Jor. 30

Ceará vs Atlético GO analysis

Ceará Atlético GO
85 ELO 86
-3.4% Tilt -14.4%
157º General ELO ranking 105º
20º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Ceará
25.5%
Draw
31.8%
Atlético GO

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
Ceará
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.8%
Win probability
Atlético GO
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ceará
-3%
-1%
Atlético GO

Points and table prediction

Ceará
Their league position
Atlético GO
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
20º
11º
64
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória
72
72
100%
EC Juventude
65
65
100%
Criciúma
64
64
100%
Atlético GO
64
64
100%
Sport Recife
63
63
0%
Novorizontino
63
63
0%
Mirassol
63
63
0%
Vila Nova
61
61
100%
Guaraní
10º
57
57
0%
CRB
57
57
10º
0%
Ceará
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Botafogo SP
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Avaí
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Ituano
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Ponte Preta
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Chapecoense
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Sampaio Correa
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Tombense
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Londrina
19º
31
31
19º
100%
ABC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ceará
Atlético GO
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ceará
Atlético GO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 1
Ceará
CEA
19%
26%
55%
85 70 15 0
19 Sep. 2023
NOV
Novorizontino
4 - 1
Ceará
CEA
31%
28%
41%
85 76 9 0
07 Sep. 2023
CEA
Ceará
3 - 1
Londrina
LON
79%
15%
6%
85 65 20 0
02 Sep. 2023
CEA
Ceará
1 - 0
Criciúma
CRI
65%
22%
14%
85 78 7 0
26 Aug. 2023
TOM
Tombense
2 - 2
Ceará
CEA
20%
27%
53%
85 66 19 0

Matches

Atlético GO
Atlético GO
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO
3 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
67%
20%
13%
85 78 7 0
16 Sep. 2023
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
14%
22%
64%
86 68 18 -1
10 Sep. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO
3 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
65%
21%
14%
85 77 8 +1
02 Sep. 2023
AVA
Avaí
0 - 2
Atlético GO
ATL
20%
24%
56%
85 73 12 0
27 Aug. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO
0 - 0
Vitória
VIT
68%
20%
13%
85 74 11 0
X