Liga Brasileña Sub 23 2nd Stage Round 3

Ceará U23 vs Avai U23 analysis

Ceará U23 Avai U23
49 ELO 45
-1% Tilt 2.1%
46627º General ELO ranking 46628º
1288º Country ELO ranking 1289º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Ceará U23
22.4%
Draw
22.5%
Avai U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
Ceará U23
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.5%
Win probability
Avai U23
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ceará U23
-5%
+5%
Avai U23

ELO progression

Ceará U23
Avai U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceará U23
Ceará U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2020
CEA
Ceará U23
1 - 0
Vila Nova U23
VIL
58%
22%
21%
48 45 3 0
30 Nov. 2020
GRE
Gremio U23
3 - 2
Ceará U23
CEA
47%
24%
29%
49 48 1 -1
19 Nov. 2020
CEA
Ceará U23
5 - 0
Paraná U23
PAR
68%
19%
14%
48 41 7 +1
12 Nov. 2020
CRB
CRB U23
0 - 3
Ceará U23
CEA
19%
22%
59%
48 34 14 0
08 Nov. 2020
CEA
Ceará U23
1 - 0
Fluminense U23
FLU
58%
22%
21%
47 44 3 +1

Matches

Avai U23
Avai U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2020
AVA
Avai U23
1 - 1
Gremio U23
GRE
40%
24%
36%
46 49 3 0
28 Nov. 2020
VIL
Vila Nova U23
0 - 0
Avai U23
AVA
43%
24%
32%
46 45 1 0
19 Nov. 2020
FOR
Fortaleza U23
4 - 1
Avai U23
AVA
38%
25%
37%
48 44 4 -2
12 Nov. 2020
AVA
Avai U23
3 - 0
Juventude U23
JUV
67%
19%
14%
48 39 9 0
08 Nov. 2020
AVA
Avai U23
2 - 0
RB Bragantino U23
RBB
64%
20%
16%
47 40 7 +1