Rio Branco vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
RBC
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
RBC
0 - 5
TIG
32%
24%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
6 - 1
RBC
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
RBC
1 - 1
AFC
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
SER
3 - 0
RBC
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
TIG
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 4
AUD
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
CER
33%
25%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |