CDR Alferrarede vs UD Abrantina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDR Alferrarede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAX
4 - 0
ALF
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 3
TRA
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
ASS
28%
23%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PEG
3 - 1
ALF
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 0
SAB
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UD Abrantina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ABR
1 - 0
PEG
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAB
0 - 4
ABR
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ABR
3 - 1
ROS
85%
10%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 1
ABR
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ABR
3 - 0
ZEZ
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |