Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff . Final
Global 1-4
La Calzada vs RC Villalbés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
RCV
1 - 1
CDF
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
CDF
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 1
VAR
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDF
5 - 2
OYO
42%
26%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
OYO
0 - 0
CDF
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RC Villalbés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
RCV
1 - 1
CDF
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ARO
1 - 2
RCV
53%
26%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RCV
1 - 1
ARO
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 2
RCV
59%
24%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RCV
0 - 1
BOU
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |