CDF Benfica vs Alfândega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 1
BFC
54%
20%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BFC
0 - 10
CPO
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -3 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MFA
1 - 0
BFC
17%
17%
66%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 2
BFC
29%
20%
51%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BFC
3 - 2
HLM
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +3 |
Matches
Alfândega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 2
GDA
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 2
CHE
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
CPO
6 - 2
ALF
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
HLM
5 - 0
ALF
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
MFA
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |